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The Big Picture on "Local"

BIA/Kelsey defines local media as ad spending by small and medium-sized businesses and national or regional advertisers making local buys. Twice annually, BIA/Kelsey issues an in-depth revenue forecast of the markets we analyze.

The forecasts draw from proprietary data; company, industry and country information in the public domain; and discussions with clients and non-clients about the direction and pace of development in the local media marketplace.

The forecast, including deep dives into various sectors, is provided to clients of the firm's Continuous Advisory Services, as an independent, objective and credible five-year market outlook, offering a view into the key drivers and assumptions behind the top-line numbers.

The forecast also serves as the foundation for BIA/Kelsey's Media Ad View reports, market-specific reports that provide a comprehensive picture of the state of local media advertising and a five-year projection for 12 media categories in 362 markets across the nation.

DATE PUBLICLY RELEASED FINDINGS
November 14, 2011 U.S. Social Local Advertising Revenues to Reach $2.3 Billion in 2015
November 7, 2011 U.S. Local Digital Advertising Revenues Continue Upward in 2011 Despite Slow-Growth Economy, According to BIA/Kelsey
September 13, 2011 BIA/Kelsey Revises Deals Forecast Upward Slightly, Due to More Entrants, Rapid Market Expansion and Growing Consumer Adoption
August 30, 2011 Digital Advertising, Performance and Retention Solutions Will Be 70% of SMB Marketing Budgets by 2015
June 23, 2011 U.S. Mobile Local Ad Revenues to Grow From $404 Million in 2010 to $2.8 Billion in 2015
May 18, 2011 Local Search Advertising Revenues to Reach $8.2
Billion by 2015
May 2, 2011 Social Media Ad Spending to Reach $8.3 Billion in 2015
March 21, 2011 BIA/Kelsey Forecasts U.S. Local Digital Ad Revenues to Nearly Double to $42.5B by 2015 from $21.7B in 2010

In addition to our local media forecast, we also release quarterly forecasts for radio and television in our Investing In publications.

FORECAST PUBLICLY RELEASED FINDINGS
Investing In Television® Reports

(View publications)
April 29, 2011 - Local Television Revenues Rose 23.2% to $19.4 Billion in 2010, Driven by Political Campaigns and National Advertising

Dec. 20, 2011 - BIA/Kelsey Expects Local TV Ad Revenues to End the Year At $18.5 Billion, Up 17% From 2009; Forecasts Decline in 2011

Investing In Radio® Reports

(View publications)
November 29, 2011 - BIA/Kelsey Revises Radio Industry Revenue Estimates for 2011 and 2012; Expects Increases of 3.5% for Over-the-Air and 15.1% for Online in 2012

April 4, 2011 - BIA/Kelsey Reports Radio Industry Revenues Rose 5.4% to $14.1 Billion in 2010, Driven by Political Season and More Activity by National Advertisers

November 30, 2010 - BIA/Kelsey Revises Radio Industry Revenue Estimate for 2010; Expects 5 Percent Increase Over Last Year With Some Markets Growing as Much as 9 Percent

August 25, 2010 - BIA/Kelsey Sees Slight Increase in Radio Industry Revenues for 2010 as Some Markets Exceed 7 Percent Growth

Global Yellow Pages Forecast (2011-2015) Dec. 6, 2011 - BIA/Kelsey Estimates 2011 Global Yellow Pages Revenues at $23.4 Billion
Global Yellow Pages Forecast (2009-2014) Mid-year Update July 13, 2010 - Digital Offerings to Account for 39% of Global Yellow Pages Revenues by 2014

 

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Local Media Annual Forecast (2010-2015) Fall Update
Nov. 7, 2011

The impact of the sluggish global economy on the local media marketplace is being somewhat offset by robust performance in the digital media sector, according to the fall update of BIA/Kelsey’s U.S. Local Media Annual Forecast (2010-2015). The local media research and advisory firm expects total local advertising revenues for 2011 to be $135.9 billion, down from the $136.2 billion it forecast earlier this year. Read press announcement. Read press announcement.

Forecast Quotes

“Our analysis indicates that as advertisers move to online, mobile and, particularly, the variants of social media, we are fast approaching a tipping point where digital media will soon become a dominant segment of the local advertising marketplace.” —Tom Buono, CEO, BIA/Kelsey

“To date, local targeting has not been widely adopted by SMBs or national brands. However, the paradigm is moving to performance, with Facebook and other networks focused on improving format, creative and targeting to boost rates and drive deeper ad engagement. We expect social local ad spend to steadily increase through 2015, especially as smaller businesses learn how to leverage targeting features to optimize results.” —Jed Williams, Analyst and Program Director, Social Local Media, BIA/Kelsey